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At Real Clear Defense, James R. Holmes writes about the need for an honest appraisal of the Navy’s submarine fleet — an appraisal that doesn’t treat past accomplishments as proof of future success.

“How do you adapt to changing times and circumstances, particularly when your home institution is big, and bureaucratic, and has compiled a long record of success that seems to vindicate its approach for all time? An institution like, say, the U.S. submarine force, or the U.S. Navy as a whole?”